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An assessment of uncertainties in climate modelling at the regional scale : the development of probabilistic based climate scenarios for Ireland /

Fealy, Rowan.

An assessment of uncertainties in climate modelling at the regional scale : the development of probabilistic based climate scenarios for Ireland / prepared for the Environmental Protection Agency by Department of Geography, National University of Ireland Maynooth ; author, Rowan Fealy. - Johnstown Castle, Co. Wexford : Environmental Protection Agency, c2010. - vii, 66 p. : ill. ; 30 cm. - Science, Technology, Research and Innovation for the Environment (STRIVE) Programme 2007-2013 STRIVE Report Series; . - STRIVE report series ; no. 48. .

At head of title: EPA STRIVE Programme, 2007-2013. "(2005-FS-33)." "National Development Plan, 2007-2013"--Cover.

Includes bibliographical references.

"This report presents an overview of the uncertainties that cascade or propagate through the climate modelling framework - from emissions scenarios to subsequent climate projections. It describes a methodology that has been developed for quantifying such uncertainties at the regional scale. Initially, a methodology adopted from the dynamical modelling community was used to ?pattern scale? previously downscaled emissions scenarios for selected locations in Ireland. This enabled the quantification of projected changes in temperature and precipitation for the end of the present century across four marker emissions scenarios...." -- Website.

9781840953459


Climatic changes--Ireland
Climatology--Mathematical models
Climatology--Statistical methods
Sustainable Development--Ireland

ENVIRONMENTAL COLLECTION (E608)

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