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001 978-3-319-65433-1
003 DE-He213
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020 _a9783319654331
_9978-3-319-65433-1
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-319-65433-1
_2doi
072 7 _aJHBD
_2bicssc
072 7 _aSOC006000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aJHBD
_2thema
082 0 4 _a304.6
_223
100 1 _aBurch, Thomas K.
_998974
245 1 0 _aModel-Based Demography
_h[electronic resource] :
_bEssays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory /
_cby Thomas K. Burch.
250 _a1st ed. 2018.
264 1 _aCham :
_bSpringer International Publishing :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2018.
300 _aXVIII, 200 p. 7 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _btxt
337 _bc
338 _bcr
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aDemographic Research Monographs, A Series of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research,
_x1613-5520
500 _aIT Carlow ebook
505 0 _aPart I: A Model-Based View of Demography: 1. Demography in a New Key: A Theory of Population Theory -- 2. Data, Models and Reality: The Structure of Demographic Knowledge -- 3. Computer Modeling of Theory: Explanation for the 21st Century -- 4. Computer Simulation and Statistical Modeling: Rivals or Complements? -- 5. Does Demography Need Differential Equations? Part II: Some Demographic Models Re-visited: 6. Theory, Computers and the Parametrization of Demographic Behavior -- 7. Estimating the Goodman, Keyfitz, Pullum Kinship Equations: An Alternative Procedure -- 8. The Life Table as a Theoretical Model -- 9. The Cohort-Component Projection Algorithm: Technique, Model and Theory -- 10. The Cohort-Component Projection Model: A Strange Attractor for Demographers Part III: Teaching Demography: 11. Teaching Demography: Ten Principles and Two Rationales -- 12. Teaching the Fundamentals of Demography: A Model-Based Approach to Family and Fertility,- 13. On Teaching Demography : Some Non-Traditional Guidelines -- Part IV: Conclusion:14 Conclusion -- Index.
506 0 _aOpen Access
520 _a Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously unpublished, some published but not readily accessible [from past meetings of The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and its research committees, or from other small conferences and seminars]. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics, his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school, demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques and data, but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling [both macro- and micro-simulation], in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for numerical computation. This book is open access under a CC BY license.
650 0 _aDemography.
_92815
650 0 _aStatistics .
_998975
650 0 _aPhilosophy and science.
_997529
650 0 _aSocial sciences.
_998976
650 1 4 _aDemography.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/X25000
_92815
650 2 4 _aStatistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/S17040
_997061
650 2 4 _aPhilosophy of Science.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/E34000
_932460
650 2 4 _aMethodology of the Social Sciences.
_0https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/X17000
_998977
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
_930940
773 0 _tSpringer Nature eBook
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319654324
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319654348
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783319880273
830 0 _aDemographic Research Monographs, A Series of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research,
_x1613-5520
_998978
856 0 _ySend a message to library staff if access to this online resource is unavailable
_uhttps://tinyurl.com/y2hljxwd
856 4 0 _yLink to Springer open access ebook
_uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65433-1
912 _aZDB-2-SLS
912 _aZDB-2-SXS
912 _aZDB-2-SOB
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